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Cash Bitcoin and IBIT Update: On February 5, 2026, when BTC was trading at 69,322, this is what we discussed about my Big Picture Weekly Chart Setup:My Weekly BTC setup indicates that the 70,000 down to up-sloping 200 Week MA, now at 58,085, is the potential bull-bear-battle Turn Zone that will be played out over a 4 to 6 week period, likely the requisite timeframe for WEEKLY Momentum to bottom, create a positive divergence, and then turn up...
As I outlined over the weekend, gold was the clearest of the charts of late. And, I also noted that should we see a sustained break of the 5000 region, then we are likely next heading to the 4800 region which will be a VERY important point for the market.To explain again, thus far, we have dropped down to the 1.00 extension (4800 region) off the 1-2 downside set up we have been tracking. Normally, when the market bottoms at the 1.00 extension and begins an impulsive rally back up through the .618 extension (4983.
After retracing over the past several days, today we moved lower and are testing the lower end of the next key pivot/support zone, which would confirm that we are indeed in wave (iii) of C down as part of the larger Ending Diagonal that we have been tracking for the past several weeks.If we manage to break back under the 6672 level, that would further confirm that we are indeed in wave (iii) of C down as laid out per the white count on the ES chart.
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