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Mike Paulenoff

XOM (Exxon Mobil) Follows My Preferred May-July Technical Price Path

XOM (Exxon Mobil)-- Back on May 19, 2026, a fellow MPTrader member requested an update on XOM. This is what we discussed at that time:My attached Daily Chart setup shows my preferred scenario calling for a near-term peak of the current upmove from the 4/17 low at 141.97 to a target zone from 162 to 165, followed by a rollover and press lower that revisits and possibly breaks the 41/7 low, which also will complete the larger corrective process from the 3/30/26 ATH at 176.41. In other words, my pattern work considers all the price action from the 3/30/26 ATH at 176.

Market At Next Inflection Point After Finally Breaking Down

After taking the long road and making us wait for the expected break lower, the market is now sitting at the next key pivot/inflection point to the downside. If we can break through this region, it would provide further confirmation that we are indeed following the primary white count lower as part of the larger wave 3 of (c) down.With that said, until we see a break of this next pivot level, I still cannot fully rule out the yellow count.

In Case You Missed It: Week Ending Friday, July 24th, 2026

In Case You Missed It…In general, the major equity indexes remain out of sync with trading volumes below average. Liquidity was slightly lacking on Thursday and Friday. SPX lost approximately 45 points this week and for now remains in its two month long sideways range. Of note is NDX, which did break below its sideways support level on Friday, closing just off the final hour low of the day: (notice the size difference between the candles leading into the top (controlled) and those after the top was struck)But again, SPX held support.

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