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Mike Paulenoff

This AM's Spotlight: HD, July Crude Oil & SPY

Good Tuesday Morning, MPTraders!  May 19, 2026: What's on my mind this morning (besides appreciating that I was NOT called for Jury Duty for today!):-- Two trading sessions until Wednesday eve's NVDA Earnings Report...-- The NVDA Earnings reaction (Jensen making the rounds on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business) on Thursday will take the markets into Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve swearing-in ceremony on Friday afternoon... -- Home Depot Earnings are a big nothingburger for investors this AM, which keeps the stock under pressure and in its bear phase (see below)...

Market Moves Lower But Still Over Downside Pivots

Today, we saw the market move lower; however, we have yet to clear the downside pivots, keeping us in a bit of suspense as we move into the middle of the week. There are a few different ways to count the downside action, none of which are terribly reliable, so for now my main focus is going to be on the larger price pivot/support levels below.As shown on the ES chart, the first pivot level that I am watching comes in at the 7352-7328 zone below.

Escalator Up? - Market Analysis for May 21st, 2026

I am going to make this update short.  The last metals update told you to expect a bounce, and that is what we got.  While I am really questioning what that bounce was in GDX, silver can be 5 waves up, but gold has a “technical” 5 waves up.  The problem with gold’s 5 waves up is that it had a 3rd wave to the 1.618 extension and the 5th wave just shy of the 2.00 extension off the i-ii set up off the low.

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