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Mike Paulenoff

This AM's Spotlight: HD, July Crude Oil & SPY

Good Tuesday Morning, MPTraders!  May 19, 2026: What's on my mind this morning (besides appreciating that I was NOT called for Jury Duty for today!):-- Two trading sessions until Wednesday eve's NVDA Earnings Report...-- The NVDA Earnings reaction (Jensen making the rounds on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business) on Thursday will take the markets into Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve swearing-in ceremony on Friday afternoon... -- Home Depot Earnings are a big nothingburger for investors this AM, which keeps the stock under pressure and in its bear phase (see below)...

Market Moves Lower But Still Over Downside Pivots

Today, we saw the market move lower; however, we have yet to clear the downside pivots, keeping us in a bit of suspense as we move into the middle of the week. There are a few different ways to count the downside action, none of which are terribly reliable, so for now my main focus is going to be on the larger price pivot/support levels below.As shown on the ES chart, the first pivot level that I am watching comes in at the 7352-7328 zone below.

Nothing Yet To Really Get Excited About

We have now spent five days below the all-time high, and we have yet to even break the initial support at the 7320SPX region.  So, at this point in time, I cannot even say with confidence that the blue wave 1 or green wave 5 is done with its upside.  Although, I do suspect it is done.With that being said, I want to remind you that if we have indeed struck a major high, it means we have likely concluded a major ending diagonal structure.  And, one of the hallmarks of the conclusion of a diagonal is a very strong reversal.

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